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Saturday, April 28, 2012

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla Preview: Spain Primera Division Jornada 36 2011/12

Pre Match
April 29, 2012 11:00 AM BST
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu — Madrid

Team News

Real Madrid
Jose Mourinho may make a few changes to his side after they played 120 minutes on Wednesday night. The 2-1 victory in the Catalan capital has at least almost secured Real's first league title in four years as they require just six points from their remaining four games.
 
Real Madrid have gone through a rollercoaster of emotions this week as a victory in the Clásico over Barcelona was followed by elimination from the Champions League at the hands of Bayern Munich.
In particular, Gonzalo Higuain is expected to start ahead of Karim Benzema as the Frenchman had to be substituted against Bayern after suffering a rough challenge from Holger Badstuber.
 
Probable lineupsCasillas, Coentrao, Pepe, Ramos, Arbeola, Khedira, Alonso, Ronaldo, Ozil, Callejon, Higuain. (4-2-3-1).

Sevilla
Sevilla's hopes of playing European football next season have stalled in recent weeks as they could only follow up a 5-1 defeat at Getafe with a 1-1 draw at home to Levante. 
 
Gary Medel and Manu del Moral will miss out through suspension so that could mean returns to the starting line-up for Jose Antonio Reyes and Ivan Rakitic.
 
Alvaro Negredo was on target again in that game to extend his scoring streak to six in six games, however the Spanish international also had a late penalty saved by Gustavo Munua.
 
Probable lineups : Varas, Cala, Fazio, Escude, Navarro, Trochowski, Rakitic, Navas, Reyes, Luna, Negredo. (4-2-3-1).  
 

Probable Lineups Statistical Comparision

 (109)  79
Goals
 22  (40)
 (84)    52
Assists
 23  (31)
 (1.2)   1.4
Shots pg
 1.2 (1.2)
 (56%)  58%
Aerial Duel Success
 53% (54%)
 (0.6)  0.7
Dribbles pg
 0.5 (0.6)
 (1.6)  1.6
Tackles pg
 1.4 (1.4)
  
Match Facts
Real Madrid have scored at least 3 goals in 16 of their last 19 home matches in La Liga.
Real Madrid have won their last 6 matches against Sevilla in all competitions.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 18 of Real Madrid's last 20 home games in La Liga.
Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions.
 
Head To Head
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Dec 17, 2011   Sevilla 2 - Real Madrid CF 6
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   May 7, 2011   Sevilla 2 - Real Madrid CF 6
Spain - Copa del Rey ‎(ESPC)‎   Feb 2, 2011   Real Madrid CF 2 - Sevilla 0
Spain - Copa del Rey ‎(ESPC)‎   Jan 26, 2011   Sevilla 0 - Real Madrid CF 1
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Dec 19, 2010   Real Madrid CF 1 - Sevilla 0
 
Prediction
The only reason to doubt Real will continue their march towards the title is if their exertions from Wednesday, allied to the early kick-off, have a drastic effect.
 
Bayern became the 18th side to score at the Bernabeu this season and with Negredo in form you would expect Sevilla to score.
 
However, Real should still have enough in the tank and the squad depth - should Mourinho choose to use it - to dispose of Michel's men quite comfortably.
  Real Madrid  3 - 1  Sevilla  

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