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Friday, April 27, 2012

Hamburg vs Mainz Preview: German Bundesliga Matchday 33 2011/12

Pre Match
April 28, 2012 2:30 PM BST
Imtech Arena — Hamburg

Team News
Hamburger SV 
 
Tomás Rincón and Gojko Kacar compete for a spot in central midfield. Heung-Min Son, Jacopo Sala and Gökhan Töre compete for the spot on the right wing. Paolo Guerrero returns from an eight-match ban and will start up front.
 
Probable lineups : Drobny, Aogo, Westermann, Mancienne, Bruma, Jansen, Jarolim, Rincon, Son, Petric, Guerrero. (4-4-2).

Mainz 05
 
Manager Tuchel could field a 4-2-3-1 system this time, with Eugen Polanski and Elkin Soto in central midifeld. Mohamed Zidan is the first option to start behind Adam Szalai, although Andreas Ivanschitz could get his chance as well.
 
Probable lineups : Wetklo, Pospech, Kirchhoff, Noveski, Bungert, Polanski, Soto, Caligiuri, Zidan, Choupo-Moting, Szalai. (4-2-3-1).  
 

Probable Lineups Statistical Comparision

 (35)   26
Goals
 29   (46)
 (19)   7
Assists
 14   (31)
 (1)    1.2
Shots pg
 1.1  (1)
 (51%)   51%
Aerial Duel Success
 52%  (50%)
 (1)    1.2
Dribbles pg
 1.1  (1.3)
 (1.9)  1.6
Tackles pg
 1.8  (2.2)
 
Match Facts
Mainz 05 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches in Bundesliga.
Mainz 05 have failed to win 14 of their last 15 away matches in Bundesliga.

Head to Head
1. Bundesliga ‎(GER1)‎   Dec 10, 2011   Mainz 0 - Hamburg 0
1. Bundesliga ‎(GER1)‎   Mar 6, 2011   Hamburg 2 - Mainz 4
1. Bundesliga ‎(GER1)‎   Oct 16, 2010   Mainz 0 - Hamburg 1
1. Bundesliga ‎(GER1)‎   Apr 17, 2010   Hamburg 0 - Mainz 1
1. Bundesliga ‎(GER1)‎   Nov 28, 2009   Mainz 1 - Hamburg 1

Prediction
Hamburg need another result to secure their safety, although their chances are already very good. The team should be motivated to finish the season with a good game at home.

Mainz are already safe, but want to keep their focus in the last two games. It remains to be seen how the players will deal with this situation. Expect Hamburg to fight hard for a win in their final home game. This should be a close game.
Hamburger SV  2 - 1  Mainz 05

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