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Saturday, April 28, 2012

Zaragoza vs Athletic Bilbao Preview: Spain Primera Division Jornada 36 2011/12

Pre Match
April 29, 2012 3:00 PM BST
Estadio de la Romareda — Zaragoza

Team News

Zaragoza 
Zaragoza's survival chances were dealt a huge blow last weekend as their 1-0 defeat at Mallorca leaves them still six points adrift with only four games to go.
 
With that in mind Manolo Jimenez must go for the three points against Athletic and he will be boosted by the return of Ruben Micael and Pablo Alvarez from suspension.
 
Carlos Aranda and Ivan Obradovic are expected to miss out again through injury though, so Abraham will continue at left-back, with Helder Postiga leading the line in attack.
 
Probable lineups : Roberto, Abraham, Paredes, Silva, Alvarez, Dujmovic, Apono, Lafita, Micael, Garcia, Postiga. (4-2-31).

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic's dream of qualifying for the Champions League on the other hand is alive and well after a second consecutive 1-0 win over Racing Santander brought them to within four points of Malaga.
 
It is hard to judge how much, if at all, Marcelo Bielsa will rotate following Thursday's Europa League clash with Sporting Lisbon, but the Argentine will be forced into at least one change as Jon Aurtenetxe is suspended.
 
Fernando Llorente should definitely start after being rested against Racing, even though his replacement Gaizka Toquero did notch just his fifth goal of the season to hand the Basques all three points.
 
Probable lineups : Iraizoz, Iraola, Martinez, Jose, Amorebieta, Iturraspe, Perez, Susaeta, Marcos, Muniain, Llorente. (4-2-3-1).  
 

Probable Lineups Statistical Comparision

 (28)     11
Goals
  40    (49)
 (18)     9
Assists
  23    (38)
 (0.7)    0.8
Shots pg
  1      (0.9)
 (46%)  48%
Aerial Duel Success
  58% (56%)
 (0.3)    0.4
Dribbles pg
  0.4   (0.5)
 (2.3)    1.9
Tackles pg
  1.8   (2)
  
Match Facts
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Athletic Bilbao's last 6 games in La Liga.
Zaragoza have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Athletic Bilbao in all competitions.
 
Head to Head
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Dec 17, 2011   Athletic Bilbao 2 - Zaragoza 1
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Mar 2, 2011   Zaragoza 2 - Athletic Bilbao 1
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Oct 17, 2010   Athletic Bilbao 2 - Zaragoza 1
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Apr 18, 2010   Athletic Bilbao 0 - Zaragoza 0
Spain - Primera Division ‎(LIGA)‎   Dec 12, 2009   Zaragoza 1 - Athletic Bilbao 2
 
Prediction
Zaragoza have lost just once in their last five at La Romareda, but overall their revival has hit the wall in recent weeks with three defeats in their last four.

Athletic, meanwhile, seem to have found a better balance between their European and domestic form as they have taken 10 points from the last 12 available.

The fact that Zaragoza really have to win should also suit Athletic as it will create space on the counter-attack for the likes of Muniain, Susaeta and De Marcos to exploit.
Zaragoza  1 - 2  Athletic Bilbao
Source

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