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Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Preview: Bucharest set for all-Spanish Europa League final

Pre Match
May 9, 2012 7:45 PM BST
Arena Națională — București
Referee:‬ W. Stark‎

Team News
Atletico Madrid
 
Tiago is suspended for the Europa League final after receiving a straight red card in the semi-final second leg tie against Valencia. Mario Suarez should play alongside Gabi in defensive midfield.
 
Antonio Lopez has been out for much of the season through injury, but is back in training once again. However, he is unlikely to feature here, though.
Silvio remains absent, and Fran Merida is cup-tied.
 
Diego Simeone did not rest any of his key players for the win over Malaga at the weekend as he chases fourth place in the league, so his players will only have had a few days rest before the Europa League final.
 
Probable lineups : Courtois, Luis, Miranda, Gocin, Juanfran, Suarez, Gabi, Turan, Diego, Adrian, Falcao. (4-2-3-1).  
  Athletic Bilbao 
 
Fernando Amorebieta faces a late fitness test after missing the draw with Getafe at the weekend, but he is expected to be make it back. Javi Martinez will return to the lineup after missing Saturday's match due to suspension.
 
Llorente and Muniain are amongst those who were rested by Marcelo Bielsa and will return to the starting XI for this game. With this game in mind, Bielsa made wholesale changes to his team at the weekend, but will recall all his biggest names as he seeks a trophy in the first of two cup finals this season.
 
Probable lineups : Iraizoz, Iraola, Amorebieta, Martinez, Aurtenetxe, Iturraspe,Ander, Susaeta, Marcos, Muniain, Llorente. (4-2-3-1).
 
Match Facts
Atletico Madrid have won their last 11 matches in UEFA Europa League.
Atletico Madrid have been drawing at half time and winning at full time in their last 4 matches in UEFA Europa League.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Athletic Bilbao's last 6 games in UEFA Europa League.
Athletic Bilbao have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches in UEFA Europa League.
 
Head to Head
Spain - Primera Division   Mar 21, 2012   Atletico Madrid 2 - Athletic Bilbao 1
Spain - Primera Division   Oct 27, 2011   Athletic Bilbao 3 - Atletico Madrid 0
Spain - Primera Division   Jan 30, 2011   Atletico Madrid 0 - Athletic Bilbao 2
Spain - Primera Division   Sep 11, 2010   Athletic Bilbao 1 - Atletico Madrid 2
Spain - Primera Division   Mar 25, 2010   Atletico Madrid 2 - Athletic Bilbao 0
 
Last Five Matches
  
May 5, 2012Atletico Madrid 2 - Malaga 1LIGA
May 2, 2012Atletico Madrid 1 - Real Sociedad 1LIGA
Apr 29, 2012Betis 2 - Atletico Madrid 2LIGA
Apr 26, 2012Valencia CF 0 - Atletico Madrid 1EL
Apr 22, 2012Atletico Madrid 3 - Espanyol 1LIGA
May 5, 2012Athletic Bilbao 0 - Getafe 0LIGA
May 2, 2012Athletic Bilbao 0 - Real Madrid CF 3LIGA
Apr 29, 2012Zaragoza 2 - Athletic Bilbao 0LIGA
Apr 26, 2012Athletic Bilbao 3 - Sporting Lisbon 1EL
Apr 22, 2012Racing 0 - Athletic Bilbao 1LIGA

Prediction
Most people expected that the Champions League would provide an all-Spanish final on the European stage this season, but both Barcelona and Real Madrid crashed out of the competition and it is the Europa League that is staging the occasion instead. Atletico are more experienced in this competition, having won it 2 years ago, but that may well count for nothing in a one-off game against another Spanish side. They did not start the season well but have finished strongly under the guidance of Diego Simeone. They are, however, not yet guaranteed a place in next seasons competition through the league, so will be extra motivated to win this game and secure their spot through that route.
 
Athletic, meanwhile, have performed above many people's expectations for much of the season. They memorably beat Manchester United and Schalke earlier in the competition, with manager Bielsa masterminding impressive victories in goal-filled and attacking performances. They are already guaranteed their spot in next season's competition through the Copa del Rey (in which they face Champions League bound Barcelona) so their league performances have dropped somewhat. However, they will be back to full strength and highly motivated to win the competition, so their recent failings in La Liga should be taken with a pinch of salt.
 
Their last 6 meetings are evenly balanced, with each side having won 3 of those 6, including a home win for each side this season. Furthermore, this will be on neutral ground, adding further unpredictability to the tie, so this really is anybody's game to win. It may well be a question of which striker can outwit the opposing defender's plans to thwart them. Falcao always has a goal in him and he could be the difference.
Atletico Madrid  2 - 1  Athletic Bilbao  

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